黄河内蒙古段冰情的自适应神经网络预报

运用数理统计理论的互相关分析方法,对黄河内蒙古段冰情信息时间序列进行分析,筛选出了冰情信息的预报因子,建立了冰情预报的自适应BP神经网络模型。预报结果表明:流凌日期为乙等预报方案,封河日期为甲等预报方案,开河日期为丙等预报方案。     

赵口—黑岗口河段河势演变及工程适应性分析

在统计不同时段赵口—黑岗口河段河湾要素的基础上,分析了规划流路与实际流路河湾要素之间的相互关系,从河床比降、弯道半径、河湾中心角、直河段河长等方面分析了河势演变情况及已建工程对河势流路的适应性。结果表明:规划流路与实际流路趋向匹配;多数工程河湾半径设计较为合理,但部分工程设计弯道中心角较大,不利于控制主流;建议结合工程实际情况采取一定的工程措施,进一步完善原有的整治方案,增强对河势的控制能力。     

长江干流上海段水质监测状况分析

根据2010~2011年长江干流上海段4次水质调查资料,研究了该区域长江水体中溶解氧、高锰酸盐指数、氨氮以及重金属含量在丰水期和枯水期两季的变化规律。结果表明：随季节性径流量变化,枯水期水体中各项污染指标含量较高,丰水期时则较低;受支流污染物汇入影响,支流汇入点下游的监测点污染水平较高;同时沿江不定期和不定量的污染物排放也会对水体中污染物浓度造成影响。此外,受较小流量和海水顶托作用的影响,长江入海口水体中各污染物浓度较高。     

三峡水库蓄水后铜陵河段演变特点及趋势分析

长江下游铜陵河段为典型的鹅头型多汊河道,通过对三峡水库蓄水前后该河段水沙特性、深泓线、平面形态和断面冲淤变化的分析,结论表明,受三峡水库运行和上游水土保持工程的影响,该河段上游的大通站来沙量大幅减少,河段内各汊道发生相应的调整。其中成德洲右汊和南夹江汊道冲刷发展,成德洲左汊进口有所淤积,造成成德洲右汊和南夹江汊道分流比逐渐增大,对南夹江的防洪造成不利影响。建议采取适当的治理措施,防止河势向不利防洪和航运方向进一步发展。     

Reach and posture hand preferences during arboreal feeding in sifakas (Propithecus sp.): A test of the postural origins theory of behavioral lateralization.

Sixteen sifakas (11 Propithecus verreauxi coquereli, 2 Propithecus verreauxi verreauxi form majori, and 3 Propithecus tattersalli) were videotaped as they fed on leaves in an arboreal context. The hand used to feed and the hand used to maintain postural stability was coded. For each subject, the lateral bias of the hand used to feed was opposite the hand used in postural support. Seven sifakas displayed no bias for feeding or posture-related hand use, 7 sifakas displayed significant feeding-related reach preferences for pulling branches to the mouth (5 left- and 2 right-hand preferences), and 9 sifakas exhibited significant hand preferences for postural support (2 left-, 7 right-hand preferent). Although these data do not strongly support the postural origins theory of behavioral lateralization, the modal preference pattern for sifakas that displayed significant hand preferences for posture and feeding involve a left bias for feeding and a right bias for postural support. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2010 APA, all rights reserved)     

神府——东胜煤田地表塌陷预测及防治

根据钻孔资料，运用概率积分法预测了矿区的地表移动程度；并采用灰色模型对典型矿井综合开采面引起的地表最终塌陷值在实测数据的基础上进行了预测。该煤矿开采后，塌陷严重大部分矿井地表最大下沉值和水平位移值均超过有关设计规范允许值。在建筑物和线路及地表水体下开采时，除采取井下预留设保护煤柱和提前施工放水孔等措施外，还要加强井下观测，应用拉杆、圈梁等地面防护措施。塌陷地带用开采废弃土石和矸石充填后，及时种植树     

基于小波的黄河上游天然年径流变化特性分析

为了研究黄河径流演变规律,用小波分析法对黄河青铜峡270多年(1724～1997)的年径流时间序列变化进行了多尺度分析,展示了在不同时间尺度下,黄河上游年径流丰、枯变化的过程。揭示了其年径流具有128年、64年和32年左右周期性变化,这3个主要周期的变化,主导着黄河上游天然年径流变化的特性。研究也表明,自1997年以来,黄河天然年径流变化的大趋势是处于接近或低于其多年平均水平,并会延续若干年。     

三维悬链线轨道设计的数值算法

有学者提出了考虑方位漂移的三维悬链线轨道设计问题,并建立了数学模型和数值求解的基本思路,为方位漂移轨道设计技术的应用提供了理论框架,但对求解数学模型的实际算法描述不甚清晰,有可能影响其在大位移井工程设计实践中的广泛应用。考虑方位漂移因素的设计约束方程组是一个具有3个独立未知数、多个隐含未知数的非线性方程组,需要使用数值迭代法才能求出其数值解。给出解析形式的垂深增量公式,利用约束方程组中的垂深方程,将3个独立未知数中的一个表示为其他未知数的函数,从而使设计约束方程组可以降维为二元非线性方程组,降低了数值求解的规模和难度。结合隐含未知数的递推计算策略,采用缩半网格法能可靠地求出降维后的设计约束方程组的数值解,特别适用于计算机编程实现。     

内蒙古电网继电保护一体化整定计算系统的开发与应用

内蒙古电网原继电保护整定计算系统功能简单,没有统一的数据平台,使得中调、地调形成信息"孤岛",而且整定计算基础数据以及定值单管理不规范.针对内蒙古电网的实际情况,开发了继电保护一体化整定计算系统.该系统在中调服务器上部署数据库服务器,构建统一的数据平台,保证了数据的一致性,其功能模块包括图形建模、故障计算、整定计算、信息管理等.实际应用中,该系统实现了中调、地调的一体化联合计算功能,有效提高了继电保护整定计算的工作效率和计算精度,也为提升继电保护定值管理水平提供了有效手段.     

Estimating the flow velocity and discharge of ADCP unmeasured area in tidal reach

Due to the ringing and side-lobe interference, acoustic Doppler current profiler (ADCP) is unable to accurately capture the complete velocity profile in open channels near the water surface and channel bottom, which are usually called unmeasured areas. At present, the flow velocities through the unmeasured areas are most commonly estimated using the power law with the power set to be the default value. However, since the flows are unsteady and nonuniform in tidal reaches, the velocity distribution model and corresponding parameters will vary with the bathymetric, tide period, etc. Therefore, the most common estimation with the power law may not be suitable in tidal reaches. In this paper, a simple determination method of the best model is proposed. Firstly, the parameters in three classical velocity distribution models, which are called power law, logarithmic law and parabolic law models, are solved by least squares based on the ADCP measured velocity cells. Then, the corresponding root-mean-square error (RMSE) of each model is used for the quantitative indicator that the model with the minimum RMSE is chosen as the best model. At last, the flow velocity and discharge of the unmeasured area are estimated by the best model. The experiments carried out in the tidal reach of Yangtze Estuary showed that vertical flow velocity distribution various with the bathymetry and tide period, and the best models averagely improved about 2.0% of the relative standard deviation (RSD) relative to the power law method in the discharge estimation, especially at some tide period the RSD of the best model was several times better than that of power law model. For Yangtze River with an annual average discharge of 3.0×10⁴ m³/s, the improvement should not be ignored. Therefore, it will be necessary to use the best model with minimum RMSE to estimate the flow velocity in tidal reach.